Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001617 0.001797 0.001978 0.002173 0.002378 0.002585 0.002810
2025-01-19 0.001303 0.001559 0.001826 0.002121 0.002439 0.002769 0.003134
2025-01-26 0.001083 0.001395 0.001730 0.002112 0.002532 0.002976 0.003476
2025-02-02 0.000899 0.001252 0.001643 0.002101 0.002615 0.003166 0.003796
2025-02-09 0.000809 0.001205 0.001656 0.002195 0.002808 0.003474 0.004244
2025-02-16 0.000686 0.001107 0.001601 0.002205 0.002903 0.003671 0.004567
2025-02-23 0.000538 0.000962 0.001482 0.002131 0.002896 0.003749 0.004754
2025-03-02 0.000418 0.000839 0.001377 0.002066 0.002893 0.003826 0.004937
2025-03-09 0.000321 0.000735 0.001287 0.002013 0.002898 0.003908 0.005121
2025-03-16 0.000251 0.000658 0.001225 0.001988 0.002933 0.004022 0.005339
2025-03-23 0.000222 0.000641 0.001240 0.002059 0.003081 0.004266 0.005705
2025-03-30 0.000187 0.000606 0.001229 0.002094 0.003184 0.004456 0.006008
2025-04-06 0.000142 0.000561 0.001217 0.002149 0.003339 0.004741 0.006461
2025-04-13 0.000081 0.000467 0.001127 0.002100 0.003367 0.004878 0.006747
2025-04-20 0.000044 0.000401 0.001071 0.002092 0.003446 0.005076 0.007108
2025-04-27 0.000018 0.000340 0.001016 0.002082 0.003520 0.005269 0.007463
2025-05-04 0.000009 0.000325 0.001035 0.002176 0.003728 0.005625 0.008013
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000281 0.000998 0.002187 0.003826 0.005847 0.008403
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000214 0.000908 0.002113 0.003811 0.005926 0.008621
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000159 0.000828 0.002049 0.003803 0.006012 0.008846
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000116 0.000760 0.001996 0.003808 0.006111 0.009084
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000086 0.000712 0.001972 0.003848 0.006253 0.009372
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000080 0.000723 0.002042 0.004019 0.006560 0.009861